Taiwan Security Monitor

Weekly PRC Media Review: 1/16/26

Author: Ethan Connell


Here’s the latest edition of the TSM PRC State Media Tracker. Each Friday, we highlight key excerpts from China’s state media organs, such as the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of National Defense, and the Taiwan Affairs Office, all below!

Response to Events in Venezuela

14 January 2026

Comments from the Taiwan Affairs Office and the Ministry of National Defense on the implications of the United States capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro:

At the January 14 press conference of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, a reporter asked: The United States recently sent troops to forcibly take control of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife and deport them, which has drawn widespread attention in Taiwan. Time magazine published an article saying that what Taiwan should really worry about is that U.S. attention will be consumed by Venezuela, thereby losing the United States as its “backer”; and that China does not need any international “precedent” to take action on its own territory. What is your comment on this?

TAO spokesperson Zhu Fenglian responded that Taiwan is a part of China. The Taiwan question is China’s internal affair, and resolving the Taiwan question is a matter for the Chinese people themselves and a just cause to safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity. “Outsiders cannot be relied upon.” The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) authorities’ attempt to “seek independence by relying on external forces” will only end up with them becoming “discarded pawns” of external forces.

(Reporter): Some public opinion on the island is concerned that the mainland might emulate what the United States did with Venezuela to “legitimize” taking action against Taiwan. Some foreign media say that if the mainland wanted to copy the U.S. approach to handling the Taiwan issue, the costs and risks would be much higher. What is your comment?

(Zhang Xiaogang): The Taiwan question is purely China’s internal affair; how it is resolved is for the Chinese people to decide, and external forces have no right to make remarks. Dealing with “Taiwan independence” armed forces would be like catching a turtle in a jar—any measures that can severely punish “Taiwan independence” elements are on the table.

The US’ Economic “Plundering” of Taiwan

14 January 2026

Comment from the Taiwan Affairs Office on the announcement that a tariff deal between Taiwan and the United States is nearing completion, under which U.S. tariffs on imports from Taiwan would be lowered to 15 percent, and TSMC would make additional investments in Arizona to build at least five more semiconductor plants:

At the January 14 press conference of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, a reporter asked: The New York Times recently reported that people familiar with the matter said the United States is close to reaching a trade agreement with Taiwan, under which U.S. tariffs on imports from Taiwan would be lowered to 15 percent, and TSMC would make additional investments in Arizona to build at least five more semiconductor plants. Figures and public opinion in Taiwan have questioned whether the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) authorities are “trading investment for tariffs,” which would lead to top-tier semiconductor production capacity moving to the United States and turn TSMC into “U.S. TSMC.” What is your comment?

TAO spokesperson Zhu Fenglian responded that the so-called agreement is an act of economic plunder by the United States against Taiwan using high tariffs as leverage, and a scheme to “bleed” Taiwan’s industries. This not only exposes the selfish nature of “America First,” but also lays bare the malicious intent of the United States in treating Taiwan as a pawn.

She said that when faced with the blatant bullying and plunder by external forces, the DPP authorities not only offer no resistance, but instead actively cater to them, treating the island’s core technological advantages as a “pledge of allegiance” to ingratiate themselves with outside forces. In tariff negotiations, they “kneel before even negotiating,” and in the face of economic extortion, they “offer the other cheek after being slapped.” The more “contracts of selling oneself” they sign, the more they will ultimately destroy Taiwan’s economic development prospects and harm the long-term interests of the people of Taiwan.

17 Strategies for Cross-Strait Relations

14 January 2026

On the recent passage of draft amendments to the “Act Governing Relations Between the People of the Taiwan Area and the Mainland Area” in Taiwan:

At the January 14 press conference of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, a reporter asked: The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) authorities have recently passed four draft amendments related to security as well as revisions to the “Act Governing Relations Between the People of the Taiwan Area and the Mainland Area.” Public opinion on the island has pointed out that these are concrete steps to push forward Lai Ching-te’s so-called “17 strategies,” aimed at further restricting cross-Strait exchanges. Behind this is the DPP authorities’ political calculation to achieve “martial law on speech” and “martial law on the internet.” What is your comment?

TAO spokesperson Zhu Fenglian responded that Lai Ching-te’s so-called “17 strategies” completely go against the mainstream public opinion in Taiwan that wants peace, development, exchange, and cooperation, and fully prove that he is a “destroyer of cross-Strait peace” and a “maker of Taiwan Strait crises.”

She said that the DPP authorities’ recent actions have sinister intentions and seek to open the door wide for further creating “green terror,” plotting “Taiwan independence authoritarianism,” and undermining cross-Strait exchanges and cooperation. These reprehensible actions that are anti-peace, anti-exchange, anti-democracy, and anti-humanity will inevitably be opposed and are doomed to fail.

Taiwan’s Resolve to Fight

16 January 2026

From China’s Ministry of National Defense on a recent poll alleging 60% of respondents are “unwilling to go to the battlefield” :

(Reporter): It is reported that a Taiwan public opinion poll shows that more than 60% of respondents said they are unwilling for themselves or their family members to go to war. What is your comment?

(Zhang Xiaogang): This again shows that the overwhelming majority of people on the island want peace, development, exchange, and cooperation, and do not want to see cross-strait confrontation or antagonism, let alone armed conflict. The Lai Ching-te authorities are acting against the current, seeking “independence” and provoking war; their true face as “destroyers of peace,” “manufacturers of crisis,” and “instigators of war” will be seen through by more and more people. I believe no one is willing to be “cannon fodder” for “Taiwan independence.” The separatist “Taiwan independence” forces go against public opinion and will ultimately be swept into the dustbin of history.

Japanese Cabinet Secretary Visits Taiwan

16 January 2026

A Japanese delegation led by Katsunobu Kato, member of the House of Representatives and former chief cabinet secretary, was received at the Presidential Office in Taipei City.

China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs’ response:

Nippon TV reporter: A former Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary visited Taiwan and held talks with Taiwan’s “president” Lai Ching-te. Lai thanked the Japanese prime minister for continuing to express the position of attaching importance to peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. What is China’s comment?

Guo Jiakun: Taiwan is a province of China; there is no such thing as a “president.” There is only one China in the world, and Taiwan is an inalienable part of China’s territory. China firmly opposes any form of official interaction between countries that have diplomatic relations with China and the Taiwan authorities. We urge Japan to earnestly abide by the one-China principle and not send any wrong signals to “Taiwan independence” separatist forces. We also want to stress that what Japan should most do now is retract Kōichi Hagiuda’s erroneous Taiwan-related remarks.

Weekly PRC Media Review: 1/9/26

Author: Ethan Connell


Here’s the latest edition of the TSM PRC State Media Tracker. Each Friday, we highlight key excerpts from China’s state media organs, such as the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of National Defense, and the Taiwan Affairs Office, all below!

“Legal Taiwan Independence” Will Be Crushed

7 January 2026

On the recent initiative by Taiwanese DPP lawmaker Lin I-chin to codify a two-state solution, with the aim to “legally define the relationship between Taiwan and the People’s Republic of China (PRC) as an equal, state-to-state relationship”:

At the January 7 press conference of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, a reporter asked: According to Taiwanese media reports, a Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) legislator proposed amending the current “Act Governing Relations Between the People of the Taiwan Area and the Mainland Area” to define cross-Strait relations as “Taiwan and the People’s Republic of China,” and to delete the wording “before national reunification” from the original provisions. Other media reports say that the proposer has already withdrawn the bill, while the proposer himself claims that “it has not yet been formally submitted.” What is your comment?

In response, Chen Binhua, spokesperson for the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, said that they are paying close attention to these developments. He said that the proposal ignores the mainstream public opinion in Taiwan and the peace and well-being of Taiwan compatriots, openly challenges the historical and legal fact that Taiwan is part of China, and attempts to change the status quo in the Taiwan Strait in which there is only one China and both the mainland and Taiwan belong to one China. He said it is a naked attempt to push “legal Taiwan independence,” deliberately escalating cross-Strait tensions and undermining peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait and the region. Its intentions are sinister and its nature is egregious, fully demonstrating that the Lai Ching-te authorities and the DPP are nothing less than “destroyers of peace,” “manufacturers of crises,” and “instigators of war.”

Chen said that “Taiwan independence” means war and is a dead end with no way out. He said China has full confidence and sufficient capability to smash any attempt at “legal Taiwan independence” in any form, and will never allow “Taiwan independence” separatist forces, under any name or in any way, to split Taiwan from China.

Chen added that history has already proven and will continue to prove that pursuing “Taiwan independence” separatism will never end well and will only lead to complete defeat. If “Taiwan independence” separatist forces dare to take reckless risks and cross red lines, China will, in accordance with the Anti-Secession Law, take resolute measures and deliver a head-on blow. He expressed the hope that Taiwan compatriots will clearly recognize the evil nature and grave harm of “Taiwan independence,” firmly stand on the correct side of history, resolutely oppose “Taiwan independence” separatist activities, and join together to safeguard peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait and protect the shared home of the Chinese nation.

“Taiwan Independence” Will be Punished For Life

7 January 2026

On the announcement of another round of “Taiwan independence elements”, which brings the total to 26 individuals:

At the January 7 press conference of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, a reporter asked: In recent years, the mainland has released several batches of lists of “diehard Taiwan independence” elements and “Taiwan independence” enforcers and accomplices. How many people are currently on each list? Will punishment be further intensified in the future to bring them to justice? Some public opinion on the island says that the mainland’s punitive measures currently have no substantive impact on these individuals. What is the spokesperson’s comment on this?

In response, Chen Binhua, spokesperson for the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, said that “Taiwan independence” elements are criminals who split the country and undermine cross-Strait relations, and are also national traitors who seek “independence,” provoke war, and harm the interests and well-being of their compatriots. As of now, 14 “diehard Taiwan independence” elements and 12 “Taiwan independence” enforcers and accomplices have been announced.

He said that any “Taiwan independence” elements who break the law, no matter where they are, will face all necessary measures: they will be punished in accordance with the law and held accountable for life.

Momentum Builds For National Reunification

7 January 2026

A summary of developments in cross-Strait relations in the past year and predictions for the year ahead:

At the January 7 press conference of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, a reporter asked the spokesperson to summarize developments in cross-Strait relations in 2025 and to look ahead to cross-Strait relations in 2026.

In response, Chen Binhua, spokesperson for the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, said that 2025 was a year in which cross-Strait relations pressed ahead through difficulties and momentum was built for national reunification. They firmly grasped the initiative and leadership in cross-Strait relations, pushed exchanges, cooperation, and integrated development to a higher level, demonstrated stronger capabilities to deter “Taiwan independence” separatism and external interference, accumulated stronger momentum for advancing reunification, and gathered greater strength for promoting the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.

First, they broke through obstacles and continued to expand cross-Strait exchanges and cooperation. They worked to overcome obstruction and restrictions imposed by the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) authorities, continued to expand people-to-people exchanges and cooperation across various fields, and promoted closer ties between compatriots on both sides and deeper, more substantive cooperation. They significantly increased the number of ports where Taiwan compatriots can obtain permits on arrival, introduced policies such as waiving the Taiwan Compatriot Permit application fee for “first-time applicants” and offering airfare discounts, and provided “greater openness, maximum convenience, and greater safety” for Taiwan compatriots traveling to and from the mainland. They successfully held events such as the Straits Forum, the Cross-Strait Chinese Culture Summit, and the Cross-Strait Grassroots Livelihood Development Exchange Conference, leading a new wave of exchanges. The numbers of Taiwan compatriots, Taiwanese youth, and “first-time visitors” coming to the mainland rose sharply. More and more Taiwan compatriots personally experienced the magnificence of the motherland’s landscapes, felt the dynamic vitality of Chinese-style modernization, appreciated the unique charm of Chinese culture, and took pride in being upright and dignified Chinese.

Second, they continued to deepen cross-Strait integrated development and share the opportunities of Chinese-style modernization. The Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee reviewed and adopted the recommendations for the 15th Five-Year Plan, making top-level design and strategic planning for development over the next five years. This provides strong impetus for Chinese-style modernization and opens broader space for Taiwan compatriots and enterprises to establish themselves and develop on the mainland. They respect, care for, and benefit Taiwan compatriots, implement policies of equal treatment for Taiwan compatriots and enterprises, and push for policies benefiting them to be implemented effectively. They advanced the construction of the cross-Strait integrated development demonstration zone with high quality, introduced a new batch of policies to deepen integrated development, and achieved new progress and results in Fujian–Taiwan integration. They held the 2025 Cross-Strait Entrepreneurs Summit Annual Meeting and dozens of cross-Strait economic and trade exchange activities, sharing the opportunities and achievements of Chinese-style modernization with Taiwan businesspeople and enterprises. They effectively responded to external tariff bullying, safeguarded the Chinese nation’s economy, and protected the interests of Taiwan businesses and enterprises on the mainland. More and more Taiwan compatriots have come to deeply recognize that both sides of the Strait form an inseparable community of shared destiny, and that the mainland is always a strong backing for Taiwan compatriots and enterprises.

Third, they resolutely opposed “Taiwan independence” separatism and external interference and firmly safeguarded the shared home of the Chinese nation. They held a symposium marking the 20th anniversary of the implementation of the Anti-Secession Law, conducted the “Strait Thunder–2025A” and “Justice Mission–2025” exercises, firmly defended national sovereignty and territorial integrity, and resolutely safeguarded the common interests of compatriots on both sides of the Strait and the fundamental interests of the Chinese nation. They punished in accordance with the law “diehard Taiwan independence” elements and their enforcers and accomplices, effectively deterring separatist provocations. They firmly upheld the authority of UN General Assembly Resolution 2758, continued to consolidate the international one-China framework, and effectively curbed external forces’ use of the “Taiwan card.” They united the broad masses of Taiwan compatriots, upheld the one-China principle and the “1992 Consensus,” jointly opposed “Taiwan independence” separatism and external interference, firmly safeguarded the shared home of the Chinese nation, and kept the future and destiny of the nation firmly in the hands of Chinese on both sides of the Strait. More and more people on the island have seen clearly the historical trend that the motherland will inevitably be reunified and have voiced hopes that cross-Strait relations will return to the correct track of peaceful development.

Chen said that on the eve of the New Year in 2026, President Xi Jinping delivered a New Year address, extending New Year greetings to Chinese at home and abroad, in which he emphasized that “compatriots on both sides of the Strait are bound by blood, and the historical trend toward national reunification is unstoppable.” In the new year, they will thoroughly implement the Party’s overall strategy for resolving the Taiwan question in the new era, uphold the one-China principle and the “1992 Consensus,” resolutely oppose “Taiwan independence” separatism and external interference, unite the broad masses of Taiwan compatriots, promote the peaceful development of cross-Strait relations, and advance the great cause of national reunification.

He expressed the hope that Taiwan compatriots will continue to strengthen their resolve, backbone, and confidence in being Chinese, work together to promote the peaceful development of cross-Strait relations and advance the cause of national reunification, and strive unremittingly for the shared future of Chinese on both sides of the Strait.

Sanctions against Liu Shifang, Cheng Yingyao, and Chen Shuyi

7 January 2026

On the announcement that Taiwanese Interior Minister Liu Shih-fang and Education Minister Cheng Ying-yao had been designated as “die-hard pro-independence elements,” along with Taiwan High Prosecutors Office prosecutor Chen Shu-yi, who was labeled as a henchman and accomplice of pro-independence forces, with threats of lifelong prosecution:

At the January 7 press conference of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, spokesperson Chen Binhua announced that the mainland has designated Liu Shifang and Cheng Yingyao as “diehard Taiwan independence” elements, and Chen Shuyi as a “Taiwan independence” enforcer and accomplice.

Chen Binhua said that he was announcing two decisions by the mainland. First, Liu Shifang and Cheng Yingyao are being designated as “diehard Taiwan independence” elements and will be punished in accordance with the law. Compatriots on both sides of the Strait share the same roots, culture, and heritage, and the common aspiration of people on both sides is for peace, development, exchange, and cooperation. Liu Shifang and Cheng Yingyao have gone against this trend, committed numerous “Taiwan independence” misdeeds, and aroused strong indignation among compatriots on both sides of the Strait. Many members of the public have reported them to the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, demanding that they be punished.

Chen said that Liu Shifang has openly propagated “Taiwan independence” separatist fallacies, harshly suppressed Taiwanese figures who support or participate in cross-Strait exchanges and cooperation, persecuted mainland spouses in Taiwan, and tried by every means to set up obstacles to cross-Strait travel and block channels for communication between people on both sides. Cheng Yingyao has vigorously promoted provocative “independence-seeking” rhetoric, organized the compilation of “Taiwan independence” teaching materials to poison young people on the island, and obstructed cross-Strait educational exchanges and cooperation. Both Liu and Cheng are stubborn in their “Taiwan independence” ideology, brazen in their separatist rhetoric, and egregious in their actions. They have openly sought to split the country and incited secession, seriously undermined cross-Strait exchanges and cooperation, gravely damaged the peaceful development of cross-Strait relations, and seriously harmed the interests and well-being of compatriots on both sides of the Strait.

Chen said that, in accordance with relevant laws and regulations, the mainland has decided to place Liu Shifang and Cheng Yingyao on the list of “diehard Taiwan independence” elements and impose sanctions on them. They and their family members are banned from entering the mainland and the Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions; institutions associated with them are restricted from cooperating with relevant organizations and individuals on the mainland; their associated enterprises and financial backers will not be allowed to seek profits on the mainland; and other necessary punitive measures will be taken. They will be held legally accountable for life. Compatriots on both sides of the Strait are welcome to continue providing information on the illegal and criminal activities of Liu Shifang and Cheng Yingyao.

Chen pointed out that “Taiwan independence” separatism is a serious scourge to the peaceful development of cross-Strait relations, and that punishing in accordance with the law the very small number of “diehard Taiwan independence” elements is meant to fundamentally safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity and protect the vital interests and well-being of Taiwan compatriots—it is by no means directed at the broad masses of Taiwan compatriots. He expressed the hope that Taiwan compatriots will clearly recognize the Taiwan-harming nature, sinister intentions, and ugly true face of this tiny number of “diehard Taiwan independence” elements, consciously draw a clear line between themselves and people like Liu Shifang and Cheng Yingyao, resolutely oppose “Taiwan independence” separatist activities, firmly promote cross-Strait exchanges, cooperation, and integrated development, safeguard the shared home of the Chinese nation, and jointly create enduring well-being for compatriots on both sides of the Strait.

Chen then announced the second decision: Chen Shuyi, described as a “green judicial thug,” is being designated a “Taiwan independence” enforcer and accomplice and will be held legally accountable for life. According to investigations, Chen Shuyi, a prosecutor with Taiwan’s “High Prosecutors Office,” has willingly acted as an enforcer and accomplice of “Taiwan independence,” fabricated charges, manufactured wrongful cases, persecuted Taiwanese individuals who support or participate in cross-Strait exchanges and cooperation, intimidated the public, and created a “green terror.” Her actions are of a vile nature and constitute serious crimes. The authorities are hereby continuing to solicit clues and evidence of Chen Shuyi’s illegal and criminal activities from both sides of the Strait (which can be sent to: [email protected]). They will base their actions on facts and the law and will punish Chen Shuyi in accordance with the law and hold her accountable for life.

Trump’s Statement on Taiwan

9 January 2026

On US President Donald Trump, who told the New York Times it’s “up to” Xi Jinping what China does regarding Taiwan, and said he warned Xi he’d be “very unhappy” if Beijing changed the status quo:

Reuters reporter: Some analysts say China might draw lessons from the U.S. military strike on Venezuela. President Trump told The New York Times that if China seeks to change the status quo in Taiwan during his term, he would be very displeased. What is the Foreign Ministry’s comment on Trump’s remarks? Mao Ning: Taiwan is an inalienable part of China’s territory. The Taiwan question is purely China’s internal affair. Resolving the Taiwan question is a matter for the Chinese people themselves and brooks no external interference.

Creeping Closer: Timeline and Analysis of the Justice Mission-2025 Joint Exercise

Authors: Noah Reed, Ethan Connell, & Jonathan Walberg


From December 29th to 31st, the Eastern Theater Command (ETC) of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) held exercise “Justice Mission-2025” (正义使命-2025) in the waters and airspace surrounding Taiwan. The drills, described by Chinese state media as a response in part to the United States’ US$11.1 billion arms package to Taiwan announced two weeks prior,[i] were the 5th and most significant round of joint exercises around Taiwan since Nancy Pelosi’s 2022 visit to Taiwan.[ii]

While following the overall thematic and operational rhythm established in prior exercises following 2022, Justice Mission-2025 also produced several firsts. These include the closest live-fire exercise to date, and the first use of a Type 075 amphibious assault ship in a joint-exercise. The exercise also featured a notable increase in attention devoted to psychological warfare and political messaging elements.

As has been the case in all past joint exercises, Justice Mission-2025 was described first and foremost as a “Serious warning to ‘Taiwan Independence’ separatist forces and external interference” by the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) Ministry of National Defense (MND). (对“台独”分裂势力与外部势力干涉的严重警告.)[iii]

Overall, Justice Mission-2025 fulfilled a dual mandate. First, it provided relevant operational experience for the PLA and China Coast Guard (CCG), something represented in the growing scale of joint-exercises since 2022 as the PLA expands in reach and scale. Second, it sent a signal of frustration over the state of cross-Strait relations to Washington, while also attempting to place the blame for the deterioration of those relations on the incumbent Democratic Progressive Party and President Lai Ching-te.

Operational Sequencing of the Exercise

Day 1 Overview: Overall, Taiwan’s MND detected 89 aircraft and 28 naval vessels, split into 15 PLAN vessels and 13 CCG vessels, operating around Taiwan during day one of the Justice Mission-2025 exercise. The day was marked by several operational themes, including:

  1. A focus on airpower, including long-range air superiority, airspace encirclement, and airborne early warning.
  2. A focus on sea-air coordination, especially as it relates to the detection and destruction of surface and sub-surface vessels.
  3. A focus on the airspace and waters east of Taiwan, consistent with an overall focus on deterring “external interference.”

29 December (All Times Local)

0730-0800: Spokesperson of the ETC of the People’s Liberation Army, Senior Colonel Shi Yi, announced that it had dispatched its Army, Navy, Air Force, and Rocket Force troops to conduct joint military drills codenamed “Justice Mission 2025” in the airspace and waters surrounding Taiwan.[iv]

Alongside this announcement was the release of a navigation warning with five prohibited entry zones within which live-fire exercises would take place the following day. Later in the day, the PRC’s Maritime Safety Administration (MSA) published two additional warning zones. The ETC later added an eighth zone to the east of Taiwan over radio, although they never announced it publicly via navigational warning.

Five of the eight declared zones violated Taiwan’s territorial waters. Zone four’s boundary ran less than five nautical miles from Taiwan’s southern coast. However, at no point did Chinese vessels cross into Taiwan’s territorial waters. All Chinese vessels operated in the area between Taiwan’s contiguous and territorial waters.

Notably, Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense (MND) disclosed that its intelligence agencies had noticed irregular activity and possible preparation several days prior to the start of “Justice Mission,” which contrasts with a claim by Chinese state media that the operation represented a “cold start” or “snap exercise.”[v]

0800-0930: Approximately one hour after announcing the exercise, the PLA’s ETC claimed that it had mobilized fighters, bombers, unmanned aerial vehicles, and long-range rocket units to strikes on simulated mobile ground targets in the “middle areas” of the Taiwan Strait.[vi] Taiwan’s MND did not report any rocket impacts in the Taiwan Strait during this time, and the ETC did not release footage of these strikes as it did on the next day.

0930-1130: At 1000, Taiwan’s MND released a statement condemning the exercise and announced the beginning of rapid response exercises and a state of high alert.[vii] One hour later, the ETC announced maritime live-fire training to the north and southwest of Taiwan, employing destroyers, frigates, fighters, bombers, and unmanned aerial vehicles. The training focused on hunting and neutralizing targets, simulated ground strikes, and live firing against targets.[viii]

An article in the PLA Daily newspaper published on the morning of the 30th identified several of the ships involved in this portion of the exercise, including the Baoyi, Quzhou, and Taiyuan ship formations.[ix]

1130-1230: At 1200, the ETC announced that it had dispatched destroyers, frigates, fighters, and bombers to conduct anti-submarine and sea-air coordination exercises to the east of the Taiwan Strait.[x] The ETC released initial footage from the exercise, showcasing elements of all involved services at around this time.

On the heels of this announcement, the CCG announced that it was carrying out “comprehensive law-enforcement patrols” in waters surrounding Taiwan and the areas near the Matsu and Wuqiu islands. Taiwan’s Coast Guard Administration (CGA) claimed that it had detected increased CCG activity several hours prior to the CCG’s official announcement.[xi]

MarineTraffic Automatic Identification System (AIS) data, which shows the last pinged location of certain vessels, confirmed this claim, as several CCG vessels, including CCG 1303 and 1302, were already observed operating north of Taiwan by 12:00.[xii] TSM researchers subsequently confirmed that CCG vessels 14609, 14606, 1302, 1306, 2203, 2204, 1303, 1303, 1302 also participated in these patrols on the 29th.[xiii]

Poster showcasing involved CCG vessels published by China’s Coast Guard Weibo Account

1230-1630: At 1500, the ETC conducted regional patrol, information support, and aerial confrontation drills using airborne early warning aircraft, fighters, and electronic warfare aircraft to the southwest of Taiwan.[xiv] An hour later, the ETC dispatched bomber task forces to conduct far-seas combat readiness patrols east of Taiwan, focusing on long-distance joint precision strikes in remote areas.[xv]

1600-0000: At 1700, the ETC reported that a Type 075 amphibious assault ship and several accompanying vessels were operating Southeast of Taiwan. According to state media, this represented the first time the PLA had deployed a Type 075 around Taiwan during a joint exercise.[xvi]

Finally, at 2000, the ETC released footage claiming to show a TB-001 UAV from the PLA Rocket Force’s 61st Base operating close to Taipei City near the Tamsui River outlet.[xvii] Taiwan’s MND has disputed the authenticity of the footage, reporting that no drone entered Taiwan’s airspace during the exercise.

Image circulated by PRC State Media claiming to show a UAV’s photo capture of New Taipei

30 December (All Times Local)

Day 2 Summary: Taiwan’s MND reported 71 aircraft, 17 PLAN vessels, and 15 CCG vessels around Taiwan by 1500 on day 2 of Justice Mission-2025. In addition, Taiwan detected a total of 27 rocket impacts in the waters north and south of Taiwan over this period.

The second day of the drills focused on blockade operations and targeted strikes, marking the closest live-fire drills around Taiwan on record.

0730-0800: The second day of Justice Mission-2025 began at 0800, when the ETC announced that fighters, bombers, frigates, and destroyers were conducting integrated blockade and control operations, to include identification, warning, and anti-air and submarine operations, to the north and south of Taiwan.[xviii]

0800-1200: At 0900, the ETC initiated the first of two rounds of live-fire long-range rocket drills in exercise zone 1. According to Taiwan’s MND, PHL-16 self-propelled Multiple Rocket Launcher Systems (MLRS) from the 72nd Group Army’s Rocket Artillery Brigade in Pingtan County, Fujian, fired at least 17 rockets into this zone.[xix]

1200-0000: At approximately 1300, PHL-16 MLRS from the 73rd Group Army’s Rocket Artillery Brigade in Shishi, Fujian, initiated a second round of live-fire long-range rocket drills. [xx] These launches targeted Zone 3 to the south of Taiwan. Taiwan’s MND reported 10 rocket impacts in the exercise. [xxi]Taiwanese media outlets reported that ten rockets from the two sets of launches landed within Taiwan’s contiguous waters zone, marking the closest ever recorded impacts during a live-fire exercise.[xxii]

The remainder of Day 2 was mostly devoted to a series of poster and video releases by the Eastern Theater Command and China Coast Guard, who continued their “comprehensive law enforcement patrols” into the second day.

31 December (All Times Local)

The ETC announced the end of the exercise at 16:00 on December 31. It is not clear why the ETC delayed announcing the end of the exercise until 31 December, as all exercise warning zones had already expired the day prior. Furthermore, MarineTraffic AIS data showed that China Coast Guard vessels had begun pulling back from the waters around Taiwan earlier in the day.[xxiii] In prior exercises, the ETC usually announced the end of exercises on the last day of heavy activity.

Notably, the ETC had released no prior exercise updates on the 31st, and Taiwan’s MND reported only 1 aircraft violating the Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) over this period.[xxiv]

Justice Mission-2025’s Propaganda Dimensions

Beijing deliberately crafted the messaging and reporting surrounding Justice Mission to frame the exercise as a “stern warning” to Taipei and its international supporters. Official statements and state media reports consistently emphasized the operation as a “legitimate and necessary action” to defend the PRC’s sovereignty and promote unification.[xxv] PRC spokespeople explicitly connected the drills to Washington’s mid-December approval of a record US$11.1 billion arms package for Taiwan, framing the exercise as a direct “punitive and deterrent action” in response.[xxvi] Foreign Ministry officials accused Taiwan’s ruling party of transforming the island into a “powder keg” through military expansion and arms acquisitions, cautioning that U.S. efforts to “arm Taiwan to contain China” would “only embolden the separatists and push the Taiwan Strait closer to the peril of armed conflict.”[xxvii] This external context was central to PRC rhetoric, enabling Beijing to justify the drills as compelled by hostile provocations and reinforcing its narrative that Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) leaders are “provocateurs” responsible for escalating tensions.

Official posters and slogans likewise adopted an overtly threatening tone, emphasizing the PLA’s capacity to isolate and strike Taiwan. PLA media accounts disseminated a series of dramatic infographics and posters suggesting that Taiwan would be defenseless in a military confrontation. For instance, one poster depicted PLA forces severing Taiwan’s supply lines, accompanied by the caption “Supply cut off – how can [you] pursue ‘independence’?” while another highlighted the “overwhelming power gap” between the PRC and Taiwan, with the challenge, “How can you seek ‘independence’ [against such odds]?”[xxviii] These visuals, often given titles like “Hammer of Justice” or “Arrow of Justice,” portrayed missiles targeting the island and blockade operations restricting access to Taiwan’s ports.[xxix]

The central message was that Beijing’s military strength serves as a tool of righteous punishment, capable of simultaneously defeating “Taiwan independence” forces and deterring external intervention from the United States. One “Arrow of Justice” poster went further by depicting a missile and volleys of arrows plunging into Taiwan itself, with lurid green “worm” figures, a common stand-in for the DPP/“Green camp,” splattered across the island, visually signaling not just blockade or deterrence but the targeted eradication of “internal” pro-independence actors. Paired with the slogan “內控外馳” (“control internally, charge outward”), the imagery suggested Beijing could simultaneously suppress “Taiwan independence” forces on the island while striking outward to deter or punish external intervention.

 PRC civilian agencies also contributed to the propaganda campaign. For example, the China Coast Guard promoted its involvement in the drills through graphics of patrol ships encircling Taiwan and slogans such as “Taiwan is China’s inherent territory,” thereby reinforcing the exercise’s dual military and law-enforcement objectives in asserting sovereignty.[xxx]

Initial announcement poster for Justice Mission 2025. The poster depicts the PRC as two shields emblazoned with the Great Wall, defending Taiwan from the external influence of American arms sales and military platforms.

Official statements from Beijing’s civilian and military representatives reinforced these themes. The State Council’s Taiwan Affairs Office (TAO) described the Justice Mission maneuvers as a “solemn warning” to separatists and foreign actors, calling them a “necessary and just measure” to protect China’s territorial integrity.[xxxi] TAO spokespersons accused the DPP administration of “recklessly colluding with external forces” and pursuing “independence” at the expense of Taiwan’s security and welfare. They cited President Lai Ching-te’s government’s acceptance of U.S. arms and support, claiming this militarization was leading the island down a “dangerous path.”[xxxii] Beijing repeatedly stated that its actions targeted “Taiwan independence” elements and their supporters, not the general population. TAO officials emphasized that “people on both sides of the Strait are one family,” and that PLA operations were directed only at separatist provocations and were “not [aimed] at the Taiwan compatriots.”[xxxiii] By combining explicit threats with appeals to “Taiwanese compatriots,” the PRC’s narrative sought to weaken support for the DPP by portraying Beijing’s actions as protective and just. At the same time, severe rhetoric toward external actors, warning that any foreign interference would “dash itself to pieces against the steel Great Wall of the PLA,” highlighted the exercises’ additional audience: the United States and other regional observers.[xxxiv] Through coordinated statements and vivid propaganda, the PRC presented Justice Mission-2025 as a lawful and necessary operation to punish separatism, deter U.S. “meddling,” and position itself as the purported defender of national sovereignty and guarantor of peace in the Taiwan Strait.

Regional and US Responses

While US President Donald Trump said that he “wasn’t worried” about Justice Mission-2025,[xxxv] and that his relationship with President Xi remains strong, the State Department called for China to “cease military pressure,” and that Beijing’s actions spiked tensions. Trump’s comment was widely interpreted in divergent ways: by critics as dismissive or inattentive, and by supporters as a signal of confidence meant to convey U.S. military and political dominance. In this sense, the remark functioned less as an assessment of the exercises themselves than as a performative signal aimed at preserving maneuver space and projecting toughness. Following the conclusion of the exercises, on January 1, State Department spokesperson Tommy Pigott reaffirmed the United States’ policy of supporting peace and stability across the Strait, opposing unilateral changes to the status quo.[xxxvi]

On December 30th, South Korea’s Foreign Ministry released a similar statement, calling for “dialogue and cooperation.”[xxxvii] On December 31st, Japan expressed concern over the exercises, with Foreign Ministry press Secretary Kitamura emphasizing that “peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait are important for the international community as a whole.”[xxxviii] The same day in Manila, Philippine Defense Secretary Teodoro expressed deep concern, adding that China’s coercion against Taiwan has implications “beyond the region” and risks stability across the continent.[xxxix] Also making statements expressing concern on New Year’s Eve were Australia and New Zealand,[xl] with Germany,[xli] the United Kingdom,[xlii] and France making announcements the day before.[xliii] Notably, Taiwan’s Foreign Ministry thanked each of these countries for their statements condemning the exercises, including Japan, but left off the United States from the message.[xliv]

Conclusion

Justice Mission–2025 underscored that Beijing is trying to institutionalize a coercive “deal” around Taiwan: headline joint exercises are increasingly treated as a conditional punishment for specific U.S. and Taiwanese actions, while day-to-day gray-zone pressure continues regardless. The exercise showed ongoing improvements in joint fires, sea–air coordination, and geographically dispersed operations, especially east of Taiwan to deter external intervention from the US. The ambiguous third day of the exercise and subdued final phase created uncertainty surrounding the intentions and overall sequence of the exercise.

The number of aircraft and naval vessels involved during the exercise naturally grew from prior iterations, as should be expected with an increasingly large and coordinated force. December 29 saw the second-largest single-day ADIZ violation by PLA aircraft on record, with the period from December 29-30 representing the largest overall violation period. Notably, the exercise did not feature an aircraft carrier, instead opting to involve a Type 075 amphibious assault vessel for the first time.

Visualization of ADIZ violations during a major exercise, via Ben Lewis and PLATracker

The exercises featured Beijing’s increasing use of coordinated propaganda, law enforcement involvement, and symbolic imagery alongside military pressure. By linking the drills to U.S. arms sales and rationalizing them as “just” and “defensive,” the PRC aimed to shift blame for escalation to Taipei and Washington while normalizing the PLA’s presence near Taiwan. Regional reactions, which were mostly expressions of concern, underscore the gap between Beijing’s claims of legitimacy and the international community’s view of destabilization. Overall, the exercise suggests that future PLA operations around Taiwan will be frequent, multi-domain, and information-driven, focusing on eroding confidence and complicating decision-making rather than preparing for immediate invasion.


[i] Global Times. ‘Justice Mission 2025’ drills serious warning to ‘Taiwan independence’ separatist forces and foreign interference, MND on comment drills target US arms sale to Taiwan. December 29th, 2025. https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202512/1351803.shtml

[ii] Prior joint-exercises include: 2023 ”Joint Sword”, Joint Sword 2024-A, Joint Sword 2024-B, and Strait Thunder 2025-A.

[iii] PRC Ministry of National Defense. 国防部新闻发言人张晓刚就东部战区“正义使命-2025”演习答记者问. December 29th,2025.

[iv] PRC Ministry of National Defense. 东部战区海空兵力实施环台岛战备警巡. December 29th, 2025.

[v] Guo Yuandan and Liu Xuanzun. Expert interprets PLA’s ‘Justice Mission 2025’ drill areas as media on Taiwan island describes exercises as ‘sudden’. Global Times. December 29th, 2025. https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202512/1351721.shtml, Taiwan Military News Agency. 中共片面宣布軍演 國防部:綿密掌握確保國家安全. December 29th, 2025. https://www.mnd.gov.tw/news/mnd/85591

[vi] PRC Ministry of National Defense. 东部战区位台湾海峡中部海空域开展对陆机动目标打击演练. December 29th, 2025.

[vii] ROC Ministry of National Defense. https://x.com/MoNDefense/status/2005460859901051243. December 29th, 2025.

[viii] PRC Ministry of National Defense.  东部战区位台岛北部、西南海空域开展对海实弹射击等科目训练. December 29th, 2025.

[ix] Song’s Defense Watch. https://x.com/songs349/status/2005953998604623997. December 30th, 2025., PLA Daily. 东部战区位台岛周边开展“正义使命-2025”演习. Pg 1. December 30th, 2025.

[x] PRC Ministry of National Defense. 东部战区位台岛以东海空域开展对海突击、区域制空、搜潜反潜等科目演练. December 29th, 2025.

[xi] Jaime Ocon. https://x.com/JaimeOcon1/status/2005475439108833748.December 29th, 2025.

[xii] Taiwan Security Monitor. https://x.com/TaiwanMonitor/status/2005499477323374881.December 29th, 2025.

[xiii] Taiwan Security Monitor. https://x.com/TaiwanMonitor/status/2005569169895366874. December 29th, 2025.

[xiv] PLA Eastern Theater Command Weibo. 东部战区位台岛西南空域开展区域巡逻、空中对抗、信息支援等科目演练. December 29th, 2025.

[xv] PLA Eastern Theater Command Weibo. 东部战区组织轰炸机编队赴台岛以东开展远海战备巡航. December 29th, 2025.

[xvi] Guo Yuandan and Liu Xuanzun. Type 075 amphibious assault ship joins drills surrounding Taiwan for first time. Global Times. December 29th, 2025.

[xvii] Joseph Wen. https://x.com/JosephWen___/status/2005729323593224444. December 29th, 2025., PLA Eastern Theater Command Weibo. 东部战区发布#微视频这么近那么美随时到台北#. December 29th, 2025.

[xviii] PLA Eastern Theater Command Weibo. 东部战区位台岛南北两端开展对海突击、防空反潜等科目演练. December 30th, 2025.

[xix] Joseph Wen & Taiwan Defense Studies Initiative. https://x.com/JosephWen___/status/2005661342691398111. December 29th, 2025.

[xx] Joseph Wen & Taiwan Defense Studies Initiative. https://x.com/JosephWen___/status/2005661342691398111. December 29th, 2025.

[xxi] Joseph Wen & Taiwan Defense Studies Initiative. https://x.com/JosephWen___/status/2005661342691398111. December 29th, 2025.

[xxii] Joseph Yeh. PLA rockets land inside Taiwan’s 24 nautical mile contiguous zone: MNDFocus Taiwan/CNA. December 30th, 2025.

[xxiii] Taiwan Security Monitor. https://x.com/TaiwanMonitor/status/2006216815442116690. December 30th, 2025.

[xxiv] ROC Military News Agency. 中共機艦臺海周邊活動 國軍嚴密監控應處. January 1st, 2026.https://mna.mnd.gov.tw/news/detail/?UserKey=a7500bc9-1570-4fc9-8818-8998d9b695cf

[xxv] Taiwan Security Monitor TAO Statement Tracker https://tsm.schar.gmu.edu/taiwan-affairs-office-the-plas-military-operations-are-a-solemn-warning-to-taiwan-independence-separatist-forces-and-external-interference-forces/

[xxvi] Taiwan Security Monitor on X/Twitter:   https://tsm.schar.gmu.edu/new-arms-sales-for-taiwan-details-and-reactions/

[xxvii] Taiwan Security Monitor on X/Twitter:   https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/fyrbt_673021/jzhsl_673025/202512/t20251229_11789718.shtml

[xxviii]  Taiwan Security Monitor on X/Twitter:   https://x.com/TaiwanMonitor/status/2005869817232867426?s=20

[xxix] Taiwan Security Monitor on X/Twitter:   https://x.com/TaiwanMonitor/status/2005807062735790564?s=20; https://x.com/TaiwanMonitor/status/2005456163249192993?s=20

[xxx] Taiwan Security Monitor on X/Twitter:  https://x.com/TaiwanMonitor/status/2005521133496623314?s=20; https://x.com/TaiwanMonitor/status/2005837836851855481?s=20; https://x.com/TaiwanMonitor/status/2005569169895366874?s=20

[xxxi] Taiwan Security Monitor TAO Statement Tracker https://tsm.schar.gmu.edu/taiwan-affairs-office-the-plas-military-operations-are-a-solemn-warning-to-taiwan-independence-separatist-forces-and-external-interference-forces/

[xxxii] Taiwan Security Monitor TAO Statement Tracker https://tsm.schar.gmu.edu/taiwan-affairs-office-any-country-or-force-that-plays-with-fire-on-the-taiwan-question-will-inevitably-pay-a-price/; https://tsm.schar.gmu.edu/taiwan-affairs-office-any-taiwan-independence-separatist-actions-will-never-be-tolerated-and-will-be-met-with-severe-punishment/

[xxxiii] Taiwan Security Monitor TAO Statement Tracker https://tsm.schar.gmu.edu/taiwan-affairs-office-any-taiwan-independence-separatist-actions-will-never-be-tolerated-and-will-be-met-with-severe-punishment/

[xxxiv] Taiwan Security Monitor TAO Statement Tracker https://tsm.schar.gmu.edu/taiwan-affairs-office-any-taiwan-independence-separatist-actions-will-never-be-tolerated-and-will-be-met-with-severe-punishment/

[xxxv] Ng and Ewe, “Trump Downplays Chinese Military Drills Around Taiwan” BBC, https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdxwxkeg9w6o

[xxxvi]US State Department on Justice Mission 2025 from CBS News: “U.S. says China’s military activities near Taiwan “increase tensions unnecessarily” https://www.cbsnews.com/news/china-military-activities-near-taiwan-unnecessarily-raise-tensions-us-says

[xxxvii] https://www.cna.com.tw/news/aopl/202512303004.aspx

[xxxviii] Japan Times: https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/12/31/japan/china-military-exercises-taiwan-japan-europe/

[xxxix] Philippines Government Announcement: https://www.bworldonline.com/the-nation/2026/01/01/721925/philippines-concerned-over-chinas-drills-near-taiwan-says-they-undermine-regional-stability

[xl] Taiwan Ministry of Foreign Affairs Announcement: https://en.mofa.gov.tw/News_Content.aspx?n=1329&s=121415

[xli] German Government Announcement: https://www.auswaertiges-amt.de/en/newsroom/news/military-exercises-china-taiwan-2750712

[xlii] United Kingdom Government Announcement: https://www.gov.uk/government/news/statement-on-chinas-military-drills-december-2025

[xliii] French Government Announcement: https://www.diplomatie.gouv.fr/en/country-files/china/news/article/justice-mission-2025-exercises-around-taiwan-december-30-2025

[xliv]Taiwan Ministry of Foreign Affairs Announcement: https://x.com/MOFA_Taiwan/status/2006273783192297963?s=20

Weekly PRC Media Review: 1/2/26

Author: Ethan Connell


Here’s the latest edition of the TSM PRC State Media Tracker. Each Friday, we highlight key excerpts from China’s state media organs, such as the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of National Defense, and the Taiwan Affairs Office, all below!


Justice Mission 2025 Exercises Around Taiwan

29 December 2025

From the Ministry of Foreign Affairs:

CCTV Reporter: This morning, the Eastern Theater Command conducted military exercises near Taiwan Island. According to reports, these drills are a response to the United States’ recent large-scale arms sale to Taiwan totaling 11.1 billion USD. What is the spokesperson’s comment?

Lin Jian: The spokesperson for the Eastern Theater Command has already released information regarding the exercises. The People’s Liberation Army’s military drills are a stern punishment for the “Taiwan independence” separatist forces who attempt to “seek independence through armed means.” They are a necessary action to safeguard China’s national sovereignty and territorial integrity.

I want to emphasize that the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) authorities obstinately cling to a “Taiwan independence” position, attempting to “rely on the U.S. to seek independence,” and are willing to turn Taiwan into a “powder keg” and “ammunition depot.” This fully exposes their malicious nature as “destroyers of peace,” “creators of crises,” and “instigators of war.”

External forces, by “using Taiwan to contain China” and arming Taiwan, will only inflate the arrogance of ‘Taiwan independence’ forces and push the Taiwan Strait toward a dangerous state of conflict.

The Taiwan question lies at the core of China’s core interests. China’s determination to safeguard national sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity is unwavering. Any provocative act that crosses the line on the Taiwan question will be met with a firm Chinese response, and any attempt to obstruct China’s reunification will never succeed.

From the Ministry of Foreign Affairs:

Reuters reporter: Was the trigger for China’s military exercises near Taiwan the U.S. arms sale to Taiwan worth 11.1 billion USD? And when the Eastern Theater Command referred to “external interference forces,” was it referring to the United States? (A reporter from Japan’s NHK asked a similar question.)

Lin Jian: I want to emphasize once again that China’s determination to safeguard national sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity is unwavering. Any egregious act of crossing the line on the Taiwan question will inevitably be met with a firm response from China.

From the Ministry of National Defense:

Reporter: On December 29, the Eastern Theater Command conducted the “Justice Mission–2025” exercise around Taiwan. Some foreign media claim the drills are a response to the United States’ recent large-scale arms sales to Taiwan. Do you have any comment?

Zhang Xiaogang: The Eastern Theater Command immediately released information on the “Justice Mission–2025” exercise. This exercise is a serious warning to “Taiwan independence” separatist forces and external interference forces, and a legitimate and necessary action to safeguard national sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity.

In recent days, external forces have repeatedly crossed lines on the Taiwan question, attempting to embolden “Taiwan independence” separatists, intensify cross-strait confrontation, severely undermine China’s sovereignty and security, and gravely damage peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. The Lai Ching-te authorities, meanwhile, have shamelessly aligned themselves with external forces, recklessly provoking with their pursuit of “independence,” and have become the root cause of tension and the chief source of instability in the Taiwan Strait.

“Taiwan independence” and peace in the Taiwan Strait are as incompatible as fire and water. External forces that indulge or support “Taiwan independence” will only end up burning themselves and suffering the consequences. We urge relevant countries to abandon their fantasy of “using Taiwan to contain China,” stop fueling tensions on the Taiwan question, and refrain from challenging China’s determination and resolve to defend its core interests.

We also sternly warn the DPP authorities: seeking independence by relying on external forces is doomed to fail, and resisting reunification with military force leads to a dead end. The Chinese People’s Liberation Army will never hesitate in combating separatism and promoting reunification. It will continue to carry out anti-secession and anti-interference operations to firmly safeguard national sovereignty, unity, and territorial integrity.

Japanese Lawmaker to Visit Taiwan

31 December 2025

An exchange from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs regarding a Japanese politician’s plan to visit Taiwan as proof it is an “independent country” :

Tokyo Television reporter: A Japanese House of Councillors member, Shi Ping (Hei Seki), said on social media today that he plans to visit Taiwan early next year and claimed that he has been banned from entering China. He said that if he is able to enter Taiwan, it would prove that Taiwan is an “independent country” unrelated to China. What is China’s comment on this?

Lin Jian: Such despicable remarks and behavior by a scoundrel are not worth commenting on.

Reactions to “Justice Mission 2025”

31 December 2025

A release from the Taiwan Affairs Office condemning Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te and stating that recent exercises are a “solemn warning” to Taiwan:

At the December 31 press conference of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, a reporter asked for comment on the People’s Liberation Army Eastern Theater Command’s organization, starting on December 29, of forces from the Army, Navy, Air Force, and Rocket Force to conduct the “Justice Mission–2025” exercise around Taiwan, which has drawn close attention on the island and caused strong reactions.

In response, Zhang Han, spokesperson for the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, said that the PLA’s relevant military actions constitute a solemn warning to “Taiwan independence” separatist forces and external interference, and are a necessary and just measure to safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity. The Lai Ching-te authorities are engaging in “Taiwan independence” separatist activities, currying favor with foreign forces without principles and selling out Taiwan without limits. They are willing to sacrifice Taiwan’s economic development and people’s well-being as they recklessly rush down a misguided path of colluding with external forces to pursue “independence” provocations and militarization. This has severely damaged cross-Strait relations, gravely threatened peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait, and seriously harmed the fundamental interests of the Chinese nation and the vital interests of Taiwan compatriots. Any “Taiwan independence” separatist actions will never be tolerated or indulged and will be met with decisive and severe blows.

Taiwan is China’s Taiwan. Any external forces that attempt to intervene in the Taiwan question or interfere in China’s internal affairs will inevitably smash themselves against the Great Wall of steel forged by the People’s Liberation Army and suffer crushing defeat. The historical trend toward national reunification is unstoppable, and no one should underestimate our firm resolve, unwavering will, or strong capability to defend national sovereignty and territorial integrity.

Compatriots on both sides of the Taiwan Strait are one family. These military actions are directed at “Taiwan independence” separatist activities and external interference, and are intended to deter “Taiwan independence” forces from colluding with external powers to bring turmoil to the Taiwan Strait. Their purpose is to fundamentally safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity, protect the fundamental interests of the Chinese nation, and safeguard the vital interests of Taiwan compatriots. They are by no means targeted at the broad masses of Taiwan compatriots.

He expressed the hope that Taiwan compatriots will clearly recognize the extreme danger and harm of the Lai Ching-te authorities’ “Taiwan independence” separatist path, join in resolutely opposing “Taiwan independence” separatism and foreign interference, firmly safeguard the shared home of the Chinese nation, and work together to create a bright future of national reunification and national rejuvenation.

Two notes from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs on diplomatic reactions to the Justice Mission 2025 exercises:

China News Service reporter: After China recently took countermeasures and punitive actions on Taiwan-related issues and the Chinese People’s Liberation Army conducted military exercises near the island of Taiwan, many countries—including Russia, Cuba, Serbia, Venezuela, Zimbabwe, and Pakistan—have expressed support. What is China’s comment on this?

Lin Jian: Since China announced the relevant countermeasures and carried out the related military exercises, dozens of countries have expressed support for China’s position in various forms. They have pointed out that Taiwan is an inalienable part of China’s territory, that the Taiwan question is China’s internal affair, opposed any form of “Taiwan independence,” supported China’s defense of national sovereignty and territorial integrity, opposed external interference in China’s internal affairs, and stated that they will continue to abide by the one-China principle. We highly appreciate the firm support expressed by these countries for China’s position.

We would like to reiterate that China’s resolve to safeguard national sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity is unwavering; its resolve to defend national reunification and national interests is unwavering; and its resolve to curb “Taiwan independence” separatist forces from colluding with external forces and disrupting peace in the Taiwan Strait is unwavering. Any egregious act that crosses red lines and provokes China on the Taiwan question will be met with resolute countermeasures, and any sinister attempt to obstruct China’s reunification will not succeed.


China Central Television (CCTV) reporter: It is reported that Japan, Australia, EU institutions, and some European countries have publicly expressed concern over China’s military exercises near Taiwan. How does the spokesperson respond?

Lin Jian: These countries and institutions turn a deaf ear to “Taiwan independence” separatist forces seeking independence through force and turn a blind eye to external forces interfering in China’s internal affairs, yet they criticize China’s necessary and just actions to safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity. They distort facts, confuse right and wrong, and act with blatant hypocrisy. China firmly opposes this and has lodged solemn representations.

Taiwan is an inalienable part of China’s territory. The Taiwan question is purely China’s internal affair and brooks no external interference. The biggest reality in the Taiwan Strait is that both sides of the Strait belong to one China, and the greatest threat to peace and stability in the Strait comes from “Taiwan independence” separatist activities and the indulgence and support they receive from external forces.

The one-China principle is a broad consensus of the international community and a fundamental norm governing international relations. It is the political foundation for China’s relations with the 183 countries with which it has diplomatic ties. Japan, Australia, and European countries made political commitments to this principle when establishing diplomatic relations with China. We strongly urge the countries and institutions concerned to strictly abide by the one-China principle, stop interfering in China’s internal affairs, and stop condoning and supporting “Taiwan independence” separatist activities.

China’s Coast Guard Activity

31 December 2025

An exchange from the Taiwan Affairs Office regarding the China Coast Guard’s execution of law enforcement patrols in the restricted waters surrounding Kinmen:

At the December 31 press conference of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, a reporter asked for comment on the mainland Coast Guard once again entering the so-called “restricted waters” near Kinmen to conduct law-enforcement patrols. Taiwan’s maritime patrol authority claimed that “the mainland Coast Guard deliberately formed up to harass vessels, disregarded navigational safety, and created significant navigation risks for passing ships.”

In response, Zhang Han, spokesperson for the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, said that both sides of the Taiwan Strait belong to one China, and that Taiwan, Penghu, Kinmen, and Matsu are all parts of China; therefore, there is fundamentally no such thing as so-called “restricted waters.” Claims that the mainland “disregarded the navigational safety of passing vessels” are entirely groundless.

The mainland Coast Guard’s law-enforcement patrols in the relevant waters are carried out in accordance with the law and are precisely intended to maintain normal navigation and operational order in those waters, as well as to safeguard the lives and property of fishermen on both sides of the Strait.

For a long time, the Democratic Progressive Party authorities have ignored the historical and objective facts of fishermen from both sides jointly operating in traditional fishing grounds. Their groundless detentions and even dangerous and rough treatment of mainland fishing vessels and fishermen are the real culprits creating navigation risks for passing ships and seriously threatening the lives and property of fishermen.

Weekly PRC Media Review: 12/19/2025

Author: Ethan Connell


Here’s the latest edition of the TSM PRC State Media Tracker. Each Friday, we highlight key excerpts from China’s state media organs, such as the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of National Defense, and the Taiwan Affairs Office, all below!


Ministry of Foreign Affairs Statement on the Honduras-Taiwan Relationship

16 December 2025

Taiwan’s Minister of Foreign Affairs Lin Chia-lung, when asked how Taiwan can maintain friendly relations with Honduras while competing with mainland China, said that “Taiwan is building a relationship based on trust and prosperity.”

China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs’ response:

Guo Jiakun: Under the banner of “trust” and “prosperity,” the Taiwan authorities are engaging in so-called “dollar diplomacy,” which cannot conceal their true nature of pursuing “independence” by any means, nor can it deceive public opinion or the people on the island. The “Taiwan independence” forces and the Democratic Progressive Party authorities are going against the tide of history and are destined to fail. Since China and Honduras established diplomatic relations, cooperation in various fields has yielded fruitful results, significantly enhancing Honduras’ long-term development capacity and bringing tremendous benefits to both countries and their peoples. The facts fully demonstrate that upholding the one-China principle accords with the trend of historical development and the progress of the times, and serves the fundamental interests of the countries concerned and their peoples.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on the Taiwanese Special Defense Budget

17 December 2025

On President Lai Ching-te’s proposed US$40 billion special budget for purchasing armaments from the United States:

Zhu Fenglian: The Taiwan question is purely China’s internal affair, and resolving it is a matter for the Chinese people alone, allowing no external interference. The Lai Ching-te administration, for the selfish interests of its party, continues to provoke “Taiwan independence,” repeatedly increases the defense budget, and pushes a “whole-of-society militarization,” tying the people of Taiwan to the separatist bandwagon. Its attempts to “rely on foreign forces to seek independence” and “use force to seek independence” threaten the safety and interests of the Taiwan people. “Taiwan independence” is a dead end; outsiders cannot be relied upon; reunification cannot be stopped. We have firm will, strong determination, and powerful capability to crush all separatist schemes for “Taiwan independence,” to resolutely oppose external interference, and to safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity.

Ministry of Foreign Affairs Statement on the Announcement of US Arms Sales to Taiwan

18 December 2025

On the news that the U.S. has initiated arms sales to Taiwan totaling about US$11 billion, one of the largest such packages:

Guo Jiakun: The U.S. has openly announced a massive plan to sell advanced weapons to Taiwan, which seriously violates the one-China principle and the three China-U.S. Joint Communiqués, gravely harms China’s sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity, severely undermines peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait, and sends a seriously wrong signal to “Taiwan independence” separatist forces. China firmly opposes and strongly condemns this.

The “Taiwan independence” separatist forces on the island are seeking “independence through armed means” and “resisting reunification with weapons,” squandering taxpayers’ money to purchase weaponry and willing to turn Taiwan into a “powder keg.” This will not save the doomed fate of “Taiwan independence.” It will only accelerate the region’s slide toward heightened tension and danger. The U.S. policy of “supporting independence with weapons” will only backfire on itself, and attempts to “use Taiwan to contain China” will never succeed.

The Taiwan question is the core of China’s core interests and the first red line that cannot be crossed in China-U.S. relations. No one should underestimate the strong will and powerful capability of the Chinese government and the Chinese people to safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity. China urges the U.S. to abide by the one-China principle and the three China-U.S. Joint Communiqués, honor the serious commitments made by its leaders, and immediately stop its dangerous act of arming Taiwan. China will take resolute and forceful measures to defend its national sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on Announcement of US Arms Sales to Taiwan

18 December 2025

Continued arms sales commentary, this time from the Taiwan Affairs Office:

Chen Binhua: The Taiwan question concerns China’s core interests and is the first red line that must not be crossed in China-U.S. relations. The U.S. side has brazenly announced a massive arms sale plan to China’s Taiwan region, crudely interfering in China’s internal affairs and seriously violating the one-China principle and the three China–U.S. joint communiqués, especially the August 17 Communiqué. It gravely harms China’s sovereignty and security interests and sends a serious wrong signal to “Taiwan independence” separatist forces. We firmly oppose this and strongly condemn it. We demand that the U.S. immediately stop “arming Taiwan,” stop condoning and supporting “Taiwan independence” separatist forces, abide by the one-China principle and the three China–U.S. joint communiqués, honor the commitments made by U.S. leaders, and handle the Taiwan issue with the utmost caution.

The DPP authorities stubbornly pursue “seeking independence by relying on the U.S.” and “seeking independence by force,” constantly hyping so-called “defense resolve,” and are willing to turn Taiwan into a “powder keg” and an “ammunition depot,” even at the cost of turning the Taiwanese people into cannon fodder for “Taiwan independence.” This will only bring grave disaster to Taiwan compatriots and fully expose their vicious nature as “destroyers of peace,” “creators of crises,” and “instigators of war.” People across Taiwan should clearly recognize the DPP authorities’ bottomless, pernicious essence of “selling out Taiwan and courting war.” We solemnly warn the DPP authorities that national reunification is an unstoppable trend; if “Taiwan independence” separatist forces dare to cross the red line, we will resolutely strike back.

Ministry of Foreign Affairs Statement on a Planned Radar Station on Kitadaito, Okinawa’s Easternmost Island

18 December 2025

On the news that Japan’s Ministry of Defense signed a land lease agreement on the 15th, planning to deploy mobile radar equipment on the easternmost island of Okinawa to monitor the activities of Chinese aircraft carriers and aircraft in the waters between Okinawa and Miyako Island:

Guo Jiakun: In the relevant sea and air areas, all countries enjoy freedom of navigation and overflight in accordance with international law.

Due to the history of Japanese militarist aggression, Japan’s military and security moves have long drawn close attention from its Asian neighbors and the international community. Japan has repeatedly strengthened targeted military deployments near Taiwan, and has even stated its intention to deploy intermediate-range missiles. Now it is further escalating by planning to deploy radar and troops to spy on its neighbors. Taken together with Prime Minister Takaichi’s series of erroneous and dangerous remarks regarding Taiwan, one must ask: Is Japan deliberately stirring up trouble, provoking China at close range, and seeking excuses to justify its military expansion and operations abroad? Is Japan following the design of right-wing forces to once again embark on the dangerous and disastrous path of militarism?

We urge Japan to learn from the lessons of history!

Weekly PRC Media Review: 12/12/25

Author: Ethan Connell


Here’s the latest edition of the TSM PRC State Media Tracker. Each Friday, we highlight key excerpts from China’s state media organs, such as the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of National Defense, and the Taiwan Affairs Office, all below!

Ministry of Foreign Affairs Statement on Radar Illumination Incident with JSDF Fighters

8 December 2025

Guo Jiakun: China has already stated its stern position on this issue. The facts are very clear. The training activities conducted by the Chinese side in the relevant sea and airspace are in line with international law and international practice. The operations involved were professional, standardized, and beyond reproach. When carrier-based aircraft turn on their search radar during flight training, this is common practice for all countries and a normal operation to ensure flight safety.

The crux of this incident is that Japanese fighter jets intruded without authorization into China’s training area, conducting close-in reconnaissance and interference against Chinese military activities, and then, as the guilty party, they were the first to lodge accusations, hyping up the so-called “radar illumination” issue, turning black into white and shifting blame onto others, misleading the international community. China is strongly dissatisfied with and firmly opposed to this, and has lodged stern representations and a strong protest with the Japanese side.

Anyone with clear eyes can see that the Japanese side is deliberately spreading and hyping up false information in the field of military security at this time, playing up tensions for entirely ulterior motives. We strongly urge Japan to immediately stop dangerous activities that disrupt China’s normal training operations, and to cease all irresponsible false hype and political manipulation.

“Ministry of Foreign Affairs Statement on the US National Security Strategy

8 December 2025

Guo Jiakun: We have noted the U.S. government’s release of the National Security Strategy report. China has always believed that when China and the United States work together, both benefit; when they confront each other, both are harmed. Mutual respect, peaceful coexistence, and win-win cooperation are the right ways for China and the United States to interact, and the only correct and realistic choice. China is willing to work with the U.S. to promote the stable development of China–U.S. relations, while firmly safeguarding its own sovereignty, security, and development interests. We hope the U.S. will move in the same direction as China, implement the important consensus reached by the two heads of state, strengthen dialogue and cooperation, properly manage differences, and push for stable, healthy, and sustainable development of China–U.S. relations, injecting more certainty and stability into the world.

Regarding the Taiwan question, we would like to emphasize that Taiwan is China’s Taiwan and an inseparable part of China’s territory. The Taiwan question is the core of China’s core interests and the first red line that must not be crossed in China–U.S. relations. How the Taiwan question is resolved is a matter for the Chinese people and not subject to external interference. The U.S. should faithfully abide by the one-China principle and the three China–U.S. joint communiqués, honor the commitments made by U.S. leaders, handle the Taiwan question with the utmost prudence, and stop condoning or supporting “Taiwan independence” separatist forces in seeking independence through armed means or resisting reunification with force. China’s determination and will to safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity are unwavering.”

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on Tariff Negotiations Between the US and Taiwan

10 December 2025

Chen Binhua: The Lai Ching-te authorities, in order to “rely on external forces to seek independence,” have shown bottomless eagerness to ingratiate themselves with the United States. In the tariff negotiations, they “knelt before negotiating,” “offered the other cheek after being slapped,” and even repeatedly deceived the public. In terms of industry, they have allowed the United States to take whatever it wants, voluntarily handing over TSMC and allowing it to extract all remaining value from Taiwan’s advantageous industries. Previously, TSMC was forced to announce an additional USD 100 billion investment in the United States, which already caused panic within Taiwan’s industry and widespread public resentment. If this USD 300 billion investment materializes, it will undoubtedly deliver a huge blow to Taiwan’s economy, further weakening its growth momentum and autonomy. We are gravely concerned about this. We hope the people of Taiwan and all those with insight from various sectors will unite and take action to firmly oppose the Lai Ching-te authorities’ pro-U.S. behaviors and actively safeguard their own interests.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on the San Francisco Treaty and the China-Taiwan Relationship

10 December 2025

Chen Binhua: The so-called “San Francisco Peace Treaty” was a product of the United States gathering a very small number of countries after World War II to conclude a separate peace with Japan. The treaty violated the provisions of the 1942 Declaration by the United Nations, which stated that “no signatory government shall make a separate armistice or peace with the enemy,” and also violated the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties, which stipulates that “a treaty may not create obligations or rights for a third state without its consent.” Therefore, it had no authority to dispose of matters such as Taiwan’s sovereignty or any sovereign rights or territory involving China, which was not a contracting party. It is illegal and invalid, and has no effect under international law. From the outset, the Chinese government has solemnly declared that it absolutely does not recognize it.

There is only one China in the world and Taiwan is a part of China. A series of international legal documents, including the Cairo Declaration and the Potsdam Proclamation, clearly and unequivocally confirm China’s sovereignty over Taiwan. The Central People’s Government of the People’s Republic of China replacing the “Government of the Republic of China” was a change of government under the same subject of international law—China—and did not alter Taiwan’s status as part of China’s territory. The DPP authorities, relying on an invalid treaty, are once again recycling the cliché of the two sides of the Strait being “not subordinate to each other,” attempting to confuse the public, mislead opinion, and challenge the internationally recognized one-China principle. This completely ignores the facts and will only bring disgrace upon themselves.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on Taiwan “Strengthening its Defense Capabilities”

11 December 2025

Chen Binhua: Lai Ching-te is once again distorting facts and making irresponsible remarks; once again clamoring for “seeking independence through force” and “seeking independence by relying on external forces”; and once again hyping the false narrative of “democracy versus authoritarianism,” attempting to deceive the Taiwan public and mislead international opinion. Under the guise of “democracy” and “peace,” he is in fact aggressively pursuing militarization and colluding with external forces to continue provoking with attempts at “Taiwan independence,” thereby exposing once more his obstinate “Taiwan independence” nature and his true identity as a “destroyer of peace,” “creator of crises,” and “instigator of conflict.”

Since taking office, Lai Ching-te has stubbornly upheld a “Taiwan independence” stance, vigorously promoting separatist fallacies, and continuously stoking confrontation and hostility across the Strait. For the sake of partisan and personal interests, he has squandered public resources, pushed for “preparing for war to pursue independence” and “militarizing society,” dragging Taiwan into dangerous circumstances marked by rising tensions and potential conflict, and binding the people to the reckless path of “Taiwan independence” separatism. On the island, he has practiced “authoritarian rule,” repeatedly trampling on democracy and undermining freedoms, abusing judicial power to suppress political opponents, and continually creating a climate of “green terror” and a “chilling effect.” Filled with confrontational thinking, he severely violates public sentiment on the island and gravely harms democracy and the rule of law. He is both the instigator of tension and instability in the Taiwan Strait and the primary source of division within Taiwan society, and thus has no qualification to speak of “democracy” or “peace.”

Weekly PRC Media Review: 12/5/25

Author: Ethan Connell


Here’s the latest edition of the TSM PRC State Media Tracker. Each Friday, we highlight key excerpts from China’s state media organs, such as the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of National Defense, and the Taiwan Affairs Office, all below!

Ministry of Foreign Affairs Statement on the Signing of the Taiwan Assurance Implementation Act

3 December 2025

Lin Jian: China firmly opposes any form of official interaction between the United States and the Taiwan region of China. This position is consistent and clear.

The Taiwan question is at the very core of China’s core interests and is the first red line that must not be crossed in China-U.S. relations. The one-China principle is the political foundation of China–U.S. relations. In the China–U.S. Joint Communiqué on the Establishment of Diplomatic Relations, the U.S. government explicitly committed that “the United States of America recognizes the Government of the People’s Republic of China as the sole legal Government of China. Within this context, the people of the United States will maintain cultural, commercial, and other unofficial relations with the people of Taiwan.” We urge the U.S. side to earnestly abide by the one-China principle and the three China–U.S. joint communiqués, exercise extreme prudence in handling Taiwan-related issues, stop all official interactions between the U.S. and Taiwan, and refrain from sending any wrong signals to “Taiwan independence” separatist forces.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on Taiwan’s Announced “Special Defense Budget”

3 December 2025

Zhang Han: Lai Ching-te, who ingratiates himself with external forces without principle and sells out Taiwan without any bottom line, is racing headlong down the path of seeking “independence” through provocations and reckless militarism. He is squandering the hard-earned money of the people, pushing a policy of “everyone a soldier,” and is willing to turn Taiwan into a battlefield and its people into cannon fodder. Money that could have been used to improve people’s livelihoods is instead being wasted on buying weapons and enriching foreign arms dealers, which will only push Taiwan into an ever more dangerous situation of looming war.

“Taiwan independence” means war. We hope that our compatriots in Taiwan will clearly recognize the extreme danger and harm of Lai Ching-te’s attempt to ‘provoke war through Taiwan independence,’ firmly oppose “Taiwan independence” separatism and external interference, and join us in bringing cross-Strait relations back onto the right track of peaceful development, genuinely safeguarding peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait and their own security and well-being. We sternly warn Lai Ching-te and the DPP authorities: do not play with fire—those who play with fire will surely burn themselves. Seeking “independence” by force and recklessly taking desperate risks will only dig your own grave!

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on “One Country – Two Systems”

3 December 2025

Zhang Han: Lai Ching-te is arbitrarily clamping down on the freedom of Taiwan’s people to take part in cross-Strait exchanges and crudely depriving ordinary people of their right to pursue a better life, fully exposing his nature of “terror politics and green dictatorship.”

“One country, two systems” is a peaceful, democratic, well-intentioned, and win–win proposal. After reunification, with the strong motherland as a backing, the livelihoods and well-being of Taiwan compatriots will improve, their development space will expand, they will be safer and enjoy greater dignity, and they will be able to stand taller and more confidently on the international stage. Taiwan will enjoy lasting peace, and the people will live and work in contentment. Taiwan compatriots will, together with compatriots on the mainland, share in the dignity and glory of our great country and embrace a bright future of prosperity and stability.

The Taiwan question is at the very core of China’s core interests and concerns the national sentiments of more than 1.4 billion Chinese people; it is a red line that absolutely must not be crossed. If “Taiwan independence” separatist forces dare to breach this red line, we will certainly take resolute action and strike them head-on. We will continue, on the basis of the one-China principle, to conduct broad exchanges of views and in-depth consultations with political parties, groups, and people from all walks of life in Taiwan on cross-Strait relations and national reunification, and jointly promote the peaceful development of cross-Strait relations and advance the great cause of the reunification of the motherland.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on Prime Minister Takaichi’s Refusal to Retract Comments on Taiwan

3 December 2025

Zhang Han: This year marks the 80th anniversary of the Chinese People’s victory in the War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression, the 80th anniversary of Taiwan’s recovery, and the 82nd anniversary of the Cairo Declaration. The Cairo Declaration and a series of other international legal instruments are major outcomes of the world anti-fascist war. They affirm from the perspective of international law China’s sovereignty over Taiwan and form an important part of the post-war international order. Observing the relevant provisions is an international legal obligation that Japan must assume.

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s erroneous remarks on Taiwan interfere in China’s internal affairs, send a wrong signal to “Taiwan independence” separatist forces, and undermine peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. We urge the Japanese side to deeply reflect on its historical crimes, withdraw its erroneous statements, stop interfering in China’s internal affairs, and faithfully abide by the one-China principle and its political commitments to China through concrete actions.

Ministry of Foreign Affairs Statement on President Lai’s Comments at the New York Times DealBook Summit

5 December 2025

Lin Jian: By providing a platform for the leader of the Taiwan authorities to peddle “Taiwan independence” separatist fallacies, the relevant U.S. media outlet has seriously violated the one-China principle and the three China–U.S. joint communiqués, and sent a gravely wrong signal to “Taiwan independence” separatist forces. China firmly opposes this.

Lai Ching-te’s words and deeds once again expose his true nature as a diehard “Taiwan independence” element and his sinister scheme of “relying on the United States to seek independence.” They once again prove that he is a “peace saboteur” and a “troublemaker.” We urge the U.S. side to fully recognize the highly sensitive nature of the Taiwan question and to implement in earnest the commitments made by its leaders. Whatever Lai Ching-te says or does is like a mantis trying to stop a chariot — it is doomed to fail.

Weekly PRC Media Review: 11/21/25

Author: Ethan Connell


Here’s the latest edition of the TSM PRC State Media Tracker. Each Friday, we highlight key excerpts from China’s state media organs, such as the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of National Defense, and the Taiwan Affairs Office, all below!

Ministry of Foreign Affairs Statement on Japanese Intervention in the Taiwan Strait

19 November 2025

Mao Ning: Looking back at history, it is not difficult to see that launching external aggression under the pretext of a so-called “survival crisis” or “self-defense” was a typical tactic of Japanese militarism. In 1931, whether Japan could “secure Manchuria” was framed as a matter “threatening Japan’s survival,” and Japan used this as an excuse to launch the September 18th Incident and occupy Northeast China. Later, Japan claimed that the “Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere” was a “war for Japan’s survival,” spreading its war of aggression across Asia. Even “whether to attack Pearl Harbor” was once regarded as a question that “threatened Japan’s survival,” which ultimately lit the fuse of the Pacific War.

The alarm has already sounded, and tragedy must not be allowed to repeat itself. On the occasion of the 80th anniversary of the victory of the Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War, the international community must remain highly vigilant and firmly resist any attempt to revive militarism, in order to safeguard the post-war international order and uphold world peace.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on Supply Chain Coordination with the US Under the “Taiwan Model”

19 November 2025

Zhu Fenglian: The so-called “Taiwan model” is nothing more than a “kowtowing-to-America model,” a fig leaf for selling out Taiwan. It will inevitably lead to the outflow of capital, technology, and talent to the U.S., severely damaging the development of Taiwan’s industries. The so-called “Taiwan–U.S. supply chain cooperation” is nothing but the U.S. openly plundering and monopolizing Taiwan’s advantageous industries. From “sharing fifty–fifty” to “taking everything,” Taiwan’s core industrial advantages will be completely lost, and the island’s employment, investment, and development momentum will suffer devastating blows.

More and more facts are making the people of Taiwan realize that the U.S. always pursues “America First.” The DPP authorities, currying favor with the U.S. at the expense of the well-being of the people and the island’s economic prospects, will ultimately be unable to escape the fate of Taiwan being squeezed dry by the U.S. We sternly warn the DPP authorities: sacrificing the foundations of Taiwan’s industrial development and the welfare of its people for the selfish interests of one party will be condemned.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on Punishment for “Taiwan Independence Diehards”

19 November 2025

Zhu Fenglian: The “Taiwan independence” diehards who engage in wrongdoing fully deserve punishment and will inevitably face severe consequences. Faced with the unsheathing of the sword to punish independence-seeking forces, the DPP authorities and the “Taiwan independence” diehards have panicked, attempting to shift blame and divert attention.

The DPP authorities’ provocations in seeking “Taiwan independence” are the root cause of tension and turbulence in cross-Strait relations. The “Taiwan independence” diehards are the vanguard cultivated by the DPP for pursuing separatism. Only by adhering to the one-China principle and the 1992 Consensus, firmly opposing “Taiwan independence,” and resolutely punishing the diehard independence elements can peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait be genuinely safeguarded, and the interests and well-being of Taiwan compatriots be effectively protected.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on Cash Rewards for Taiwanese Influencers

19 November 2025

Zhu Fenglian: Wen Ziyu and Chen Boyuan have long published and spread statements advocating “resisting China and protecting Taiwan” and “relying on the U.S. to seek independence,” inciting separatism. They have aggressively attacked and smeared mainland policies benefiting Taiwan and its people, bullied and persecuted mainland spouses in Taiwan and Taiwan compatriots who support peaceful cross-Strait relations, and acted as enforcers and accomplices of “Taiwan independence.” They have aided wrongdoing and created a malign influence. The public security authorities’ issuance of a wanted notice and reward for information on their criminal acts is a concrete step taken in accordance with the law to punish crimes of splitting the country or inciting secession. It is a righteous response to the strong public demand on both sides of the Strait to punish separatist activities. The reward measures in the notice will be implemented by public security authorities in accordance with relevant laws and regulations.

The mainstream public opinion in Taiwan favors peace, development, exchanges, and cooperation. The extremely small number of “Taiwan independence” diehards, enforcers, and accomplices are destructive troublemakers whose misdeeds have caused deep resentment among the vast majority of people in Taiwan, who support punishing them in accordance with the law. These punitive measures are directed only at the diehard “Taiwan independence” elements and their enforcers or accomplices, and do not involve the broad masses of people in Taiwan. We hope compatriots on both sides of the Strait will actively provide information on relevant illegal activities and resolutely oppose all forms of separatist conduct.

Ministry of Foreign Affairs Statement on Japanese Military Rearmament

21 November 2025

Mao Ning: Japan has been continually “loosening restraints on itself” and expanding its military capabilities. Its defense budget has risen for thirteen consecutive years, and the new security laws lifted the ban on collective self-defense. Japan revised the “Three Principles on Arms Exports” into the “Three Principles on Transfer of Defense Equipment and Technology,” continually relaxing restrictions on arms exports and even beginning to export lethal weapons. Japan claims to seek a world free of nuclear weapons, yet it is vigorously strengthening cooperation on “extended deterrence,” and is even seeking to revise the “Three Non-Nuclear Principles”—not possessing, not producing, and not introducing nuclear weapons—in order to pave the way for “nuclear sharing” arrangements. These trends show that Japan is breaking away from its exclusively defensive posture and accelerating its “rearmament.” One cannot help but ask: What exactly is Japan trying to do?

If Japan intends to return to the old path of militarism, abandon its commitment to peaceful development, and undermine the post-war international order, the Chinese people will not accept it, the international community will not allow it, and it will ultimately end in failure.

Weekly PRC Media Review: 11/14/25

Author: Ethan Connell


Here’s the latest edition of the TSM PRC State Media Tracker. Each Friday, we highlight key excerpts from China’s state media organs, such as the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of National Defense, and the Taiwan Affairs Office, all below!

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on “Expectations for the Period After Reunification”

5 November 2025

Zhang Han: Resolving the Taiwan question and achieving the complete reunification of the motherland is the common aspiration of all sons and daughters of the Chinese nation. National reunification is the historical conclusion of the development of cross-Strait relations. Everything we do to promote cross-Strait relations is aimed at strengthening kinship ties and enhancing the well-being of compatriots on both sides, and at fulfilling their shared desire for a better life. Completing national reunification is a just cause—beneficial in the present, advantageous for generations to come, and bringing enduring blessings far into the future.

On October 25, at the conference commemorating the 80th anniversary of Taiwan’s restoration, Wang Huning, member of the CPC Politburo Standing Committee and Chairman of the CPPCC National Committee, stated that after peaceful reunification, with the strong support of the motherland, Taiwan will enjoy “seven areas of improvement”: — better economic development, — better guarantees for energy and resources, — better infrastructure construction, — better security, — better external exchanges, — better livelihood and welfare for Taiwan compatriots, and — better spiritual and cultural life.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on Jilin-1 Satellite Imagery Released of Taiwan

11 November 2025

Zhang Han: Taiwan is a treasured island of the motherland. As the mainland’s scientific and technological capabilities continue to improve, we are able to measure our land more precisely, safeguard our homeland more securely, and embrace the future with greater confidence. As many netizens have said, this is truly a “bird’s-eye view of home.”

Whether it is the majestic Great Wall or the beautiful Sun Moon Lake, the towering skylines of Shanghai or the bustling Port of Taipei — they are all part of the motherland’s magnificent rivers and mountains, and together form the beautiful home of the Chinese nation. We sincerely welcome more Taiwan compatriots to visit the mainland, to witness its grand landscapes and vibrant development, and to feel the warmth of home.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on the Criminal Investigation into Puma Shen (Shen Po-yang)

11 November 2025

Zhang Han: Taiwan is a part of China, and “Taiwan independence” is an act of splitting the country and betraying the nation. The public security authorities’ decision to open a case and investigate Shen Po-yang for allegedly committing the crime of secession, and to pursue his criminal responsibility in accordance with the law, is reasonable and lawful. It is a concrete action to implement the Opinion on Punishing Stubborn ‘Taiwan Independence’ Elements for the Crimes of Splitting the Country and Inciting Splitting the Country in Accordance with the Law, and a just and necessary measure to oppose “Taiwan independence” separatism and safeguard national unity.

This judicial and law-enforcement action targets only a very small number of “Taiwan independence” diehards whose words and deeds are egregious and whose separatist activities are rampant. It does not target and does not involve the broad mass of Taiwan compatriots. The Democratic Progressive Party authorities deliberately blur the distinction between the general public and a tiny number of “Taiwan independence” diehards in order to intimidate the people — revealing their own guilty conscience and fear.

Ministry of Foreign Affairs Statement on Visit to Taiwan by Fijian Ambassador to the UN

6 November 2025

Mao Ning: China has always firmly opposed any form of official interaction between countries that have diplomatic relations with China and the Taiwan region. The Fijian official’s visit to Taiwan seriously violates Fiji’s political commitment to the One-China principle. China expresses strong dissatisfaction over this and has lodged stern representations with Fiji. The despicable actions of the Taiwan authorities will not succeed.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on Japanese Involvement in a Taiwan Scenario

12 November 2025

Chen Binhua: There is only one China in the world, and Taiwan is part of China. The egregious remarks concerning Taiwan made openly by a Japanese leader in the Diet seriously violate the one-China principle and constitute a blatant interference in China’s internal affairs. We express strong dissatisfaction and firm opposition to this. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs has lodged solemn representations and strong protests with the Japanese side.

Japan bears historical guilt toward the Chinese people on the Taiwan issue and committed countless crimes during its 50 years of colonial rule and enslavement of Taiwan. Eighty years ago, we defeated the Japanese aggressors, recovered Taiwan, and ended Japan’s occupation and plunder. Eighty years later, anyone who dares to challenge China’s core interests or attempts to obstruct the great cause of China’s reunification will find that the Chinese government, the Chinese people, and the Chinese military will never agree and will never tolerate it.

Japan should deeply reflect on its history, learn from past lessons, adhere to the one-China principle and the spirit of the four political documents between China and Japan, honor its political commitments on the Taiwan question, and handle Taiwan-related issues with the utmost prudence. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) authorities are also sternly warned: any attempt to rely on external forces to split Taiwan from China is doomed to fail.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on the Commissioning of the Fujian

12 November 2025

Chen Binhua: From the Liaoning to the Shandong and now to the Fujian, the arrival of the “three-carrier era” is a major achievement in China’s national defense and military development, and a solid step forward for the People’s Liberation Army on its path toward becoming a world-class military. Chinese people at home and abroad all feel proud and honored by this. As the People’s Navy grows stronger and sails further into the deep blue, it will more powerfully safeguard the motherland’s vast maritime borders, defend national sovereignty and territorial integrity, and defeat any forces or plots attempting to invade or divide China’s sacred territory.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on the US-Taiwan Relationship

12 November 2025

Chen Binhua: In recent days, many foreign media outlets, experts, and scholars have criticized the Lai Ching-te (William Lai) authorities for their reckless provocations and repeated attempts to seek “Taiwan independence.” This shows that more and more people are seeing their true nature as “peace saboteurs” and “troublemakers,” and that the dream of “relying on external forces to pursue independence” is nothing but a futile fantasy.

The future of Taiwan, the safety and well-being of the people in Taiwan, lie in the peaceful development of cross-Strait relations and the realization of national reunification. We hope that the broad mass of Taiwan compatriots will clearly recognize the extreme danger and harm of the Lai Ching-te authorities’ stubborn adherence to the separatist path of “Taiwan independence,” resolutely oppose “Taiwan independence” and external interference, and work together with us to bring cross-Strait relations back onto the path of peaceful development, genuinely safeguarding peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait and their own safety and well-being.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on Reunification with Taiwan

12 November 2025

Chen Binhua: The historical process of China’s reunification cannot be stopped. “Taiwan independence” is a dead end, and confrontation leads nowhere. Only by advancing cross-Strait relations toward the complete reunification of the motherland can lasting peace across the Taiwan Strait be ensured and enduring well-being for the Chinese nation be achieved.

We are willing, on the common political foundation of upholding the one-China principle and opposing “Taiwan independence,” to work together with all political parties, organizations, and representative figures in Taiwan to conduct extensive and in-depth democratic consultations on cross-Strait relations and Taiwan’s future — to seek peace across the Taiwan Strait, to seek well-being for our compatriots, and to seek rejuvenation for the Chinese nation. We hope that all political parties and people from all walks of life on the island will recognize the trend of history, uphold the great national interest, and join us in safeguarding peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait, working hand in hand to open a bright new chapter of national rejuvenation and the reunification of the motherland.

Taiwan Affairs Office Statement on Cross-Strait Communication

12 November 2025

Chen Binhua: The “1992 Consensus” is the political foundation for the development of cross-Strait relations and the anchor of peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. It was precisely on the basis of the “1992 Consensus” that the two sides of the Strait began consultations and negotiations, signed a series of agreements, and reached numerous consensuses, which effectively promoted economic well-being on both sides and strongly safeguarded peace and stability across the Strait.

The historical tide of national reunification and rejuvenation is surging forward. The earlier the Taiwan question is resolved and the motherland is reunified, the more favorable it will be for Taiwan’s development and for improving the lives of Taiwan compatriots. People on both sides of the Strait are Chinese — members of one family bound by blood. We have the ability and the wisdom to properly handle our own family affairs and firmly hold the destiny of the Chinese nation in our own hands.

Visualization: Brahmos Missile Deployment

Author: Chris Dayton, Ethan Connell


The Philippine Marine Corps publicly unveiled its BrahMos cruise missile coastal defense system at a Marine Corps Coastal Defense Regiment facility in Zambales.

Above is our visualization of the BrahMos system’s deployment site and reported operational range.