In his written testimony to the U.S.-China Economic & Security Review Commission in February 2021, TSM Directorย Dr. Michael Hunzekerย argues that Taiwanโs military should focus on preparing for a full-scale invasion and identifies gaps and shortfalls that undermine its ability to do so.
“Taiwan should be one of the most secure places on earth. It is a flourishing liberal democracy that boasts a vibrant, globalized economy, a well-educated population, and a high standard of living. Yet Taiwanโs future is anything but secure. It is an outlier in the international systemโsovereign in practice, but not in name. China regards it as a renegade province and systematically seeks to isolate it from the rest of the world. More ominously, China has not renounced the use of military force to resolve the standoff. Thus, instead of being safe and secure, Taiwanโs 23.5 million citizens are forced to live in the shadow of unimaginable potential violence.
Whether or not China might someday attack Taiwan is a matter of much debate. Whether or not Taiwan should take steps to convince Chinese leaders that the costs of waging such a war will outweigh any possible benefits is not. The more war becomes unacceptably painful, the more likely both sides will endeavor to resolve their differences peacefully. In short, Taiwan must deter aggression.
This monograph suggests a holistic strategy that Taiwan can use to enhance its conventional deterrence posture…”